Washington DC Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Washington DC settles
KXHIGHTDCKXLOWTDCOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
We project 88°F · likely range 88–90°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 83° or below | — | 0% |
| 84° to 85° | — | 0% |
| 86° to 87° | — | 0% |
| 88° to 89° | — | 71% |
| 90° to 91° | — | 25% |
| 92° or above | — | 4% |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 80°F · likely range 78–81°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 77° or below | 2¢ | 19% |
| 78° to 79° | 7¢ | 30% |
| 80° to 81° | 32¢ | 30% |
| 82° to 83° | 46¢ | 16% |
| 84° to 85° | 9¢ | 5% |
| 86° or above | 2¢ | 1% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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