Washington DC Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Washington DC settles
Settlement stationReagan National (KDCA)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high series
KXHIGHTDCDaily low series
KXLOWTDCRoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-29
We project 71°F · likely range 70–73°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 3¢ | 9% |
| 70° to 71° | 42¢ | 43% |
| 72° to 73° | 54¢ | 37% |
| 74° to 75° | 5¢ | 11% |
| 76° to 77° | — | 1% |
| 78° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
Get Washington DC edges by email
One email a day, only when we actually find something. Free right now, and every pick is graded publicly.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.