Seattle Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Seattle settles
KXHIGHTSEAKXLOWTSEAOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-28
We project 54°F · likely range 54–54°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 50° or below | — | 0% |
| 51° to 52° | — | 0% |
| 53° to 54° | — | 52% |
| 55° to 56° | — | 46% |
| 57° to 58° | — | 1% |
| 59° or above | — | 0% |
High · 2026-10-29
We project 53°F · likely range 50–56°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 51° or below | 4¢ | 29% |
| 52° to 53° | 31¢ | 24% |
| 54° to 55° | 53¢ | 24% |
| 56° to 57° | 16¢ | 15% |
| 58° to 59° | 2¢ | 6% |
| 60° or above | — | 1% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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