Seattle Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Seattle settles
KXHIGHTSEAKXLOWTSEAOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
Our model is under review for this day
Our projection currently differs from the National Weather Service forecast by more than 3°F for this day, so we've withheld our numbers rather than show you something we don't trust. Market prices below are unaffected.
| Range | Market | Our fair value (withheld) |
|---|---|---|
| 63° or below | — | — |
| 64° to 65° | — | — |
| 66° to 67° | — | — |
| 68° to 69° | — | — |
| 70° to 71° | — | — |
| 72° or above | — | — |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 66°F · likely range 64–68°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 65° or below | 17¢ | 42% |
| 66° to 67° | 45¢ | 24% |
| 68° to 69° | 39¢ | 19% |
| 70° to 71° | 5¢ | 10% |
| 72° to 73° | 2¢ | 4% |
| 74° or above | — | 1% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
Get Seattle edges by email
One email a day, only when we actually find something. Free right now, and every pick is graded publicly.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.