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Atlanta Weather Markets on Kalshi

Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.

How Atlanta settles

Settlement stationHartsfield-Jackson (KATL)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high seriesKXHIGHTATL
Daily low seriesKXLOWTATL
RoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher

Our projection vs the market

High · 2026-10-29

We project 76°F · likely range 75–78°F

RangeMarketOur fair value
73° or below2¢3%
74° to 75°21¢37%
76° to 77°71¢42%
78° to 79°9¢15%
80° to 81°—3%
82° or above—0%

Low · 2026-10-29

We project 55°F · likely range 54–57°F

RangeMarketOur fair value
48° or below—0%
49° to 50°—0%
51° to 52°2¢1%
53° to 54°23¢28%
55° to 56°49¢53%
57° or above30¢19%

Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.

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