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Minneapolis Weather Markets on Kalshi

Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.

How Minneapolis settles

Settlement stationMinneapolis-St. Paul Intl (KMSP)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high seriesKXHIGHTMIN
Daily low seriesKXLOWTMIN
RoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher

Our projection vs the market

No Minneapolis markets are open right now. Kalshi lists the next day's temperature contracts each afternoon — check back, or see today's open markets.

Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.

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