Boston Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Boston settles
Settlement stationLogan Intl (KBOS)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high series
KXHIGHTBOSDaily low series
KXLOWTBOSRoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-29
We project 67°F · likely range 66–69°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 62° or below | — | 0% |
| 63° to 64° | 2¢ | 3% |
| 65° to 66° | 4¢ | 37% |
| 67° to 68° | 24¢ | 45% |
| 69° to 70° | 53¢ | 13% |
| 71° or above | 14¢ | 1% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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