Boston Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Boston settles
KXHIGHTBOSKXLOWTBOSOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
We project 70°F · likely range 70–71°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 68° or below | — | 0% |
| 69° to 70° | — | 49% |
| 71° to 72° | — | 47% |
| 73° to 74° | — | 3% |
| 75° to 76° | — | 0% |
| 77° or above | — | 0% |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 72°F · likely range 71–75°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 2¢ | 20% |
| 70° to 71° | 13¢ | 22% |
| 72° to 73° | 31¢ | 24% |
| 74° to 75° | 46¢ | 18% |
| 76° to 77° | 7¢ | 10% |
| 78° or above | 3¢ | 5% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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