San Antonio Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How San Antonio settles
KXHIGHTSATXKXLOWTSATXOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
We project 101°F · likely range 101–101°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 97° or below | — | 0% |
| 98° to 99° | — | 0% |
| 100° to 101° | — | 99% |
| 102° to 103° | — | 0% |
| 104° to 105° | — | 0% |
| 106° or above | — | 0% |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 98°F · likely range 95–100°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 97° or below | 29¢ | 48% |
| 98° to 99° | 54¢ | 31% |
| 100° to 101° | 18¢ | 16% |
| 102° to 103° | 3¢ | 4% |
| 104° to 105° | — | 1% |
| 106° or above | 2¢ | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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