Dallas Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Dallas settles
KXHIGHTDALKXLOWTDALWorth knowing
Dallas settles at DFW International. Note that other venues use Love Field (KDAL) for “Dallas”, so a contract elsewhere with an identical-sounding title may not resolve to the same number.
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-29
We project 81°F · likely range 79–82°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 80° or below | 71¢ | 38% |
| 81° to 82° | 27¢ | 49% |
| 83° to 84° | 4¢ | 13% |
| 85° to 86° | 2¢ | 0% |
| 87° to 88° | — | 0% |
| 89° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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