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Oklahoma City Weather Markets on Kalshi

Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.

How Oklahoma City settles

Settlement stationWill Rogers World (KOKC)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high seriesKXHIGHTOKC
Daily low seriesKXLOWTOKC
RoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher

Our projection vs the market

High · 2026-09-13

We project 100°F · likely range 100101°F

RangeMarketOur fair value
96° or below0%
97° to 98°0%
99° to 100°19%
101° to 102°70%
103° to 104°11%
105° or above1%

High · 2026-09-14

We project 99°F · likely range 97101°F

RangeMarketOur fair value
94° or below6%
95° to 96°14%
97° to 98°22¢26%
99° to 100°44¢28%
101° to 102°29¢18%
103° or above8%

Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.

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