New Orleans Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How New Orleans settles
Settlement stationLouis Armstrong Intl (KMSY)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high series
KXHIGHTNOLADaily low series
KXLOWTNOLARoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-07-30
We project 94°F · likely range 92–96°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 91° or below | — | 5% |
| 92° to 93° | 3¢ | 30% |
| 94° to 95° | 44¢ | 40% |
| 96° to 97° | 48¢ | 24% |
| 98° to 99° | 5¢ | 1% |
| 100° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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