New Orleans Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How New Orleans settles
Settlement stationLouis Armstrong Intl (KMSY)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high series
KXHIGHTNOLADaily low series
KXLOWTNOLARoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-29
We project 78°F · likely range 77–81°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 77° or below | 2¢ | 31% |
| 78° to 79° | 41¢ | 47% |
| 80° to 81° | 54¢ | 13% |
| 82° to 83° | 3¢ | 8% |
| 84° to 85° | — | 1% |
| 86° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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