Houston Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Houston settles
KXHIGHTHOUKXLOWTHOUWorth knowing
Houston settles at William P. Hobby (KHOU), not Bush Intercontinental (KIAH). Bush is the larger airport and the more common default, but it isn't the one the contract grades on.
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-07-30
We project 97°F · likely range 96–99°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 95° or below | 8¢ | 4% |
| 96° to 97° | 56¢ | 54% |
| 98° to 99° | 34¢ | 32% |
| 100° to 101° | 6¢ | 10% |
| 102° to 103° | — | 0% |
| 104° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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