Philadelphia Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Philadelphia settles
Settlement stationPhiladelphia Intl (KPHL)
SourceNWS Climatological Report (CLI)
Daily high series
KXHIGHPHILDaily low series
KXLOWTPHILRoundingWhole degrees — “above 96°” means 97° or higher
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-10-29
We project 71°F · likely range 69–72°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 68° or below | 3¢ | 9% |
| 69° to 70° | 49¢ | 38% |
| 71° to 72° | 51¢ | 41% |
| 73° to 74° | 2¢ | 11% |
| 75° to 76° | — | 1% |
| 77° or above | — | 0% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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