Philadelphia Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Philadelphia settles
KXHIGHPHILKXLOWTPHILOur projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
We project 84°F · likely range 84–86°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 79° or below | — | 0% |
| 80° to 81° | — | 0% |
| 82° to 83° | — | 0% |
| 84° to 85° | — | 61% |
| 86° to 87° | — | 35% |
| 88° or above | — | 4% |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 77°F · likely range 75–78°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 73° or below | — | 9% |
| 74° to 75° | 5¢ | 21% |
| 76° to 77° | 17¢ | 31% |
| 78° to 79° | 66¢ | 25% |
| 80° to 81° | 10¢ | 11% |
| 82° or above | 2¢ | 3% |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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