Denver Weather Markets on Kalshi
Today's projected temperature next to what the market is charging. Contracts settle on the official National Weather Service reading — not a phone app, and not necessarily the airport you'd expect.
How Denver settles
KXHIGHDENKXLOWTDENWorth knowing
Denver settles at Denver International (KDEN). Other venues use Buckley Space Force Base for “Denver”, so titles that look identical can resolve differently.
Our projection vs the market
High · 2026-09-13
We project 94°F · likely range 94–94°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 88° or below | — | 0% |
| 89° to 90° | — | 0% |
| 91° to 92° | — | 0% |
| 93° to 94° | — | 79% |
| 95° to 96° | — | 21% |
| 97° or above | — | 0% |
Low · 2026-09-13
Our model is under review for this day
Our projection currently differs from the National Weather Service forecast by more than 3°F for this day, so we've withheld our numbers rather than show you something we don't trust. Market prices below are unaffected.
| Range | Market | Our fair value (withheld) |
|---|---|---|
| 54° or below | 12¢ | — |
| 55° to 56° | 88¢ | — |
| 57° to 58° | — | — |
| 59° to 60° | — | — |
| 61° to 62° | — | — |
| 63° or above | — | — |
High · 2026-09-14
We project 88°F · likely range 86–90°F
| Range | Market | Our fair value |
|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 2¢ | 2% |
| 83° to 84° | 4¢ | 8% |
| 85° to 86° | 18¢ | 20% |
| 87° to 88° | 48¢ | 28% |
| 89° to 90° | 26¢ | 25% |
| 91° or above | 5¢ | 17% |
Low · 2026-09-14
Our model is under review for this day
Our projection currently differs from the National Weather Service forecast by more than 3°F for this day, so we've withheld our numbers rather than show you something we don't trust. Market prices below are unaffected.
| Range | Market | Our fair value (withheld) |
|---|---|---|
| 58° or below | 9¢ | — |
| 59° to 60° | 9¢ | — |
| 61° to 62° | 37¢ | — |
| 63° to 64° | 19¢ | — |
| 65° to 66° | 15¢ | — |
| 67° or above | 5¢ | — |
Market prices are mid-quotes and move through the day; our figures are what the model currently projects, not a guarantee. Highlighted rows are where we differ from the market most — which is a disagreement, not a promise. Every pick we publish is graded win or lose on our public record.
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